Goalkeeper Saves – Top 5 Leagues
Goalkeepers most likely to make saves in the next match based on expected shots on target faced, save ability and the attacking behaviour of the opponent.
How the ranking is calculated
Goalkeepers are ranked using a weighted score that focuses on expected save volume in the upcoming match and the goalkeeper’s ability to convert shots on target faced into saves. To ensure fair comparisons, only goalkeepers above a minimum playing-time threshold are included and every metric is converted into a percentile score within the dataset.
- Expected shots on target faced (dominant factor) estimates the likely volume of saves available in the upcoming match. It is calculated as the average of the opponent’s shots on target produced per match and the goalkeeper’s team’s shots on target conceded per match.
- Goalkeeper save conversion rewards goalkeepers with a higher save rate, meaning they stop a higher share of shots on target.
- Shot-stopping quality uses post-shot expected goals added to separate strong shot-stoppers from goalkeepers who face easier shots. Additional support is included from post-shot expected goals per ninety minutes and historical saves.
- Small control for heavy concession applies a minor penalty based on goals conceded per ninety minutes to avoid ranking goalkeepers whose results are consistently poor.
The final score is a weighted combination of expected shots on target faced, save rate, shot-stopping quality and historical saves with a small penalty for heavy concession. Goalkeepers are ranked according to this score for the upcoming fixture and its specific opponent.